Manhattan Republicans

[King of Kensington]

Who are Republicans in Manhattan these days?  I'm guessing they're generally very rich Wall Street/finance guys, Orthodox Jews, a dwindling number of UES old money Republicans.

[TML]

Also, churchgoers who agree with Republicans on social issues.

[wnwnwn]

The real life equivalents of Roman Roy?

[Alcibiades]

In 2020, Trump’s strongest precincts in Manhattan (where he managed to get around 30%) came in two main clusters — the Upper East Side (especially the prime areas adjacent to the park) and down along Park Avenue a bit into Midtown, and Chinese areas in Lower Manhattan (he got over 40% in his very strongest precinct, in the heavily Chinese Knickerbocker Village development).

The Upper East Side of course represents the last vestiges of strength amongst what would have once been the most stereotypically Republican group in the country. The decline has naturally been precipitous in the Trump era — Romney came close to winning several precincts there in 2012, while as late as 2017, Bill de Blasio almost lost the Upper East side as a whole (but Eric Adams did even better than Biden there).

Relative strength amongst Chinese voters, on the other hand, is a much more recent phenomenon, which was particularly apparent in 2022 along with the dramatic Republican swings in the Asian parts of Queens — Lee Zeldin actually won the aforementioned precinct in Knickerbocker Village.

[ProgressiveModerate]

The post above gives a pretty good explanation.

One other thing I would add is that much of Manhattan, especially below 60th street is very transient, so in a place like Battery Park City you might have someone living there for just a few years to advance their career and then move out to the suburbs and live the more conservative lifestyle they desire.

[Steve from Lambeth]

Didn't Jenna Bush live in a nice apartment in Tribeca until literally after I joined Talk Elections?

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

In 2020, Trump’s strongest precincts in Manhattan (where he managed to get around 30%) came in two main clusters — the Upper East Side (especially the prime areas adjacent to the park) and down along Park Avenue a bit into Midtown, and Chinese areas in Lower Manhattan (he got over 40% in his very strongest precinct, in the heavily Chinese Knickerbocker Village development).

The Upper East Side of course represents the last vestiges of strength amongst what would have once been the most stereotypically Republican group in the country. The decline has naturally been precipitous in the Trump era — Romney came close to winning several precincts there in 2012, while as late as 2017, Bill de Blasio almost lost the Upper East side as a whole (but Eric Adams did even better than Biden there).

Relative strength amongst Chinese voters, on the other hand, is a much more recent phenomenon, which was particularly apparent in 2022 along with the dramatic Republican swings in the Asian parts of Queens — Lee Zeldin actually won the aforementioned precinct in Knickerbocker Village.

I'm not seeing any precinct in Manhattan that gave Trump 40%+ of the vote or Lee Zeldin a win in DRA...am I missing something?

[Alcibiades]

In 2020, Trump’s strongest precincts in Manhattan (where he managed to get around 30%) came in two main clusters — the Upper East Side (especially the prime areas adjacent to the park) and down along Park Avenue a bit into Midtown, and Chinese areas in Lower Manhattan (he got over 40% in his very strongest precinct, in the heavily Chinese Knickerbocker Village development).

The Upper East Side of course represents the last vestiges of strength amongst what would have once been the most stereotypically Republican group in the country. The decline has naturally been precipitous in the Trump era — Romney came close to winning several precincts there in 2012, while as late as 2017, Bill de Blasio almost lost the Upper East side as a whole (but Eric Adams did even better than Biden there).

Relative strength amongst Chinese voters, on the other hand, is a much more recent phenomenon, which was particularly apparent in 2022 along with the dramatic Republican swings in the Asian parts of Queens — Lee Zeldin actually won the aforementioned precinct in Knickerbocker Village.

I'm not seeing any precinct in Manhattan that gave Trump 40%+ of the vote or Lee Zeldin a win in DRA...am I missing something?

The precinct that gave Trump over 40% (40.1% to be precise) is precinct 65025, in Knickerbocker Village.

For the one Lee Zeldin won (which I think is the same one Trump got 40% in), I’m going by the precinct map for that election on Wikipedia, where you can just make out a small red dot in Lower Manhattan.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Say hello to the Chair of the Manhattan County Republican Party! A socialite billionaire heiress who's father is a Greek who founded a grocers chain and is now a talk radio show host for some reason.

[Tintrlvr]

In 2020, Trump’s strongest precincts in Manhattan (where he managed to get around 30%) came in two main clusters — the Upper East Side (especially the prime areas adjacent to the park) and down along Park Avenue a bit into Midtown, and Chinese areas in Lower Manhattan (he got over 40% in his very strongest precinct, in the heavily Chinese Knickerbocker Village development).

The Upper East Side of course represents the last vestiges of strength amongst what would have once been the most stereotypically Republican group in the country. The decline has naturally been precipitous in the Trump era — Romney came close to winning several precincts there in 2012, while as late as 2017, Bill de Blasio almost lost the Upper East side as a whole (but Eric Adams did even better than Biden there).

Relative strength amongst Chinese voters, on the other hand, is a much more recent phenomenon, which was particularly apparent in 2022 along with the dramatic Republican swings in the Asian parts of Queens — Lee Zeldin actually won the aforementioned precinct in Knickerbocker Village.

I'm not seeing any precinct in Manhattan that gave Trump 40%+ of the vote or Lee Zeldin a win in DRA...am I missing something?

The precinct that gave Trump over 40% (40.1% to be precise) is precinct 65025, in Knickerbocker Village.

For the one Lee Zeldin won (which I think is the same one Trump got 40% in), I’m going by the precinct map for that election on Wikipedia, where you can just make out a small red dot in Lower Manhattan.

I don't see the 40.1% Trump precinct. The best one I see in Chinatown is indeed the one covering Knickbocker Village, but DRA has it as 66.7% Biden, 32.0% Trump. That said, I do see that Zeldin won that precinct 358-350 over Hochul. It's 80.2% Asian.

Knickerbocker Village does seem to be unusually Republican compared to other Chinatown-area precincts, however. For example, the nearby precinct containing Confucius Plaza (a similar massive housing development) that is 91.1% Asian voted 79.6% Biden, 19.0% Trump and 64.3% Hochul, 35.4% Zeldin.

Trump's best precinct in 2020 in Manhattan (excluding a few precincts with negligibly small numbers of votes) seems to be the precinct in the lower 60s between Park and 5th, which was 65.0% Biden, 32.8% Trump. It's probably also the wealthiest precinct in Manhattan, maybe the United States.

The two precincts covering Yeshiva University in upper Manhattan are also relatively Republican-friendly (25.2% and 25.0% Trump in 2020), but they are only 41.4% and 37.8% white, respectively, and each include a bunch of generic Washington Heights too (adjacent precincts are in the mid-teens for Trump), so the conservative YU students are clearly being outvoted by the locals.

[Alcibiades]

I don't see the 40.1% Trump precinct. The best one I see in Chinatown is indeed the one covering Knickbocker Village, but DRA has it as 66.7% Biden, 32.0% Trump. That said, I do see that Zeldin won that precinct 358-350 over Hochul. It's 80.2% Asian.

This is where I’m getting it from (this is the UFL 2020 precinct map).

[Tintrlvr]

I don't see the 40.1% Trump precinct. The best one I see in Chinatown is indeed the one covering Knickbocker Village, but DRA has it as 66.7% Biden, 32.0% Trump. That said, I do see that Zeldin won that precinct 358-350 over Hochul. It's 80.2% Asian.

This is where I’m getting it from (this is the UFL 2020 precinct map).

Odd. Not sure why they would be different. NY should allocate all mail-in and early votes by precinct, so there shouldn't be a discrepancy.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

I don't see the 40.1% Trump precinct. The best one I see in Chinatown is indeed the one covering Knickbocker Village, but DRA has it as 66.7% Biden, 32.0% Trump. That said, I do see that Zeldin won that precinct 358-350 over Hochul. It's 80.2% Asian.

This is where I’m getting it from (this is the UFL 2020 precinct map).

Odd. Not sure why they would be different. NY should allocate all mail-in and early votes by precinct, so there shouldn't be a discrepancy.

Sometimes differences can appear when precinct boundaries change and some software tries to approximate old voting on new precincts.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Trump got some sort of reverse favorite son thing, getting less than 10% in Manhattan in 2016, and then breaking 10% in 2020 when it was no longer his official residence.

[Schiff for Senate]

Trump got some sort of reverse favorite son thing, getting less than 10% in Manhattan in 2016, and then breaking 10% in 2020 when it was no longer his official residence.

Perhaps a simpler interpretation is that Clinton just had a big home state advantage that Biden, for obvious reasons, did not.

[Samof94]

Didn't Jenna Bush live in a nice apartment in Tribeca until literally after I joined Talk Elections?

She would be considered a RINO by many people.