United Kingdom General Election: July 4, 2024

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

Here's a crazy idea: why not bring back Boris? Obviously he has a ton of baggage and couldn't win but he might at least be able to prevent Nigel Farage from destroying the Tories considering he's managed that much before. He hardly seems likely to do worse than Sunak or Mordaunt and at least no one could say he isn't qualified for the position.

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

Is anyone taking bets on how many seats flip to Reform, independent or WPB? It seems like they'd never have a better shot than an election where the Tories can't win and there's no need to argue about strategic voting

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

So, along with the polls already mentioned in thread, we have some from other firms: Techne Lab 42, Con 19, Ref 17, LDem 12, Green 5, SNP 2; BMG Lab 42, Con 19, Ref 19, LDem 9, Green 7, SNP 3, More in Common Lab 39, Con 25, Ref 14, LDem 11, Green 5, SNP 3. MiC apply a particularly heavy re-weighting method, and just for completeness/comparisons sake the unadjusted figures are Lab 41, Con 22, Ref 14, LDem 11, Greens 6.

The PeoplePolling poll is... Wow!

https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1803513652906963170

This would be like a 230+ Labour majority. The Tories would probably have fewer than 50 seats, right?

If this poll is right it could tick every box for the most farcical election ever:

* Labour winning a supermajority with a lower percentage of the vote than Corbyn got in 2017
* Tories 0 seats in England
* Reform in 2nd by PV winning single digit seats
* Lib Dem Official Opposition despite coming 4th by PV
* Greens with 2/3rds the vote of the Lib Dems get something like 1/50th the seats

Really the only way it could get more absurd is if Labour won that supermajority with fewer votes than Corbyn 2019 and lost a half dozen seats to independents for good measure.

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

Have we done “JK Rowling endorses the Communist Party because they’re the only ones with a gender policy she agrees with” yet?

"Workers of the world unite! The only thing you have to lose is your chains!" - woman who lives in a castle