2018 New Brunswick election

[RogueBeaver]

SOON.

[the506]

Streams:

CBC - https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/new-brunswick-election-day-1.4835463
CTV - https://atlantic.ctvnews.ca/video?playlistId=1.4106874

[Pouring Rain and Blairing Music]

20 minutes. Hopefully we’ll know by midnight Atlantic time.

[mileslunn]

I think the results should come in fairly fast as they use machines instead of hand counts, much like Ontario.  Off course if razor thin then it might take a while.  And if there is a minority, then it might be days.  Otherwise if PCs win a minority, but Liberals + Greens have majority, Liberals probably stay on, while if Liberals win most seats, but PCs + PANB get majority, then PCs form government, shades of what we have in BC.

[JoeyOCanada]

20 minutes. Hopefully we’ll know by midnight Atlantic time.

Please no I have to be up at 5:30 lol

[Hatman 🍁]

Greens leading in Restigouche West. Not expecting that, but it seems it was on their target list.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

[mileslunn]

It's looking like it might be a minority or perhaps even a tie.  Interesting People's Alliance looks like it will come in third, so if PCs + PA get a majority, while the People's Alliance back the PCs regardless of seats or do an issue by issue?

[Pouring Rain and Blairing Music]

I think the results should come in fairly fast as they use machines instead of hand counts, much like Ontario.  Off course if razor thin then it might take a while.  And if there is a minority, then it might be days.  Otherwise if PCs win a minority, but Liberals + Greens have majority, Liberals probably stay on, while if Liberals win most seats, but PCs + PANB get majority, then PCs form government, shades of what we have in BC.

They seem pretty quick to me so far.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

[JoeyOCanada]

CTV projects NO MAJORITY

[Hatman 🍁]

Liberals with a decent PV lead, but are trailing in seats. Thank you, FPTP.

[mileslunn]

CTV projects NO MAJORITY

Will be interesting.  While probably an issue by issue as People's Alliance won't prop up particular party, I suspect you will see PC + PA on one side and Lib + Greens on other.  Unlike BC, doubt this will last a full four years.

[the506]

Chaos scenario.

[mileslunn]

Liberals with a decent PV lead, but are trailing in seats. Thank you, FPTP.

It looks like a minority anyways and under PR not always the largest party forms government.  I think if PCs lose the popular vote but get a majority that is a different story, but if a minority, there is no reason the popular vote winner cannot form government if they can gain the confidence.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Current leading and elected numbers

[Pouring Rain and Blairing Music]

This is turning into exhibit 427 of why FPTP is bad.

[136or142]

Jennifer McKenzie is getting 5% of the vote in her riding.

[mileslunn]

Huge linguistic divide.  Liberals cleaning up the Francophone areas, but in Anglophone areas, not only are PCs well in the lead, People's Alliance are coming in second in many.

[Hatman 🍁]

Jennifer McKenzie is getting 5% of the vote in her riding.

Um, no. She's over 10%

[136or142]

Jennifer McKenzie is getting 5% of the vote in her riding.

Um, no. She's over 10%

My mistake, sorry.  She's around 15%

[VPH]

People's Alliance is doing very well. Wonder why the breakthrough this time...

[mileslunn]

People's Alliance is doing very well. Wonder why the breakthrough this time...

People tired of the two main parties which haven't achieved much.  Also their stance on bilingualism is more of an issue with the large deficit as scrapping or limiting its use would save money.  Off course it could create a whole set of other problems, but that is probably the reason I presume.

[MaxQue]

People's Alliance is doing very well. Wonder why the breakthrough this time...

Trump's election empowered bigots.

[Hatman 🍁]

Well, nice to know the NDP is in second place in a few districts, at least. Didn't see that coming.