2018 New Brunswick election

[ON Progressive]

On the political compass I got:

NDP 84%
Green 79%
Liberal 62%
PA 51%
PC 50%

I don't know how I'm over 50 for the People's Alliance, or at 50 for the PCs.

[ON Progressive]

Turnout in Saint John was pretty low last time. The amount of voters in the entire metro area was less than in Fredericton, despite having one more seat.

Any theories as to why?

[ON Progressive]

I have to wonder why the PA is doing so well in Fredericton?

[ON Progressive]

If results were proportional (idk why I do this with a lot of elections but I do)

Seat changes are from the actual results

Liberal: 19 seats (-2)
Progressive Conservative: 16 seats (-6)
People's Alliance: 6 seats (+3)
Greens: 6 seats (+3)
NDP: 2 seats (+2)

Likely government would be Liberal+Green

Or Liberal+Green+NDP to get by the speaker issue.

A majority of the province voted for left of centre parties (and yes, the NB Liberals are a centre-left party, unlike the rest of their Atlantic counterparts). Reason #393 why we need electoral reform.

Wait till we get to Quebec...CAQ might lose the pop vote but get 30 more seats then the PLQ. The incredulous thing though is that following New Brunswick's hung government, there has been chatter about electoral reform by every party except the PLQ!

The PLQ deserve to lose government if they are stupid enough to not support electoral reform when it would help them immensely.

[ON Progressive]

The People's Alliance are now saying that they won't work with the PCs...things are getting chippy in NB

I don't see a path for government then. Liberal + Green isn't enough, and the Liberals would lose the Francophone vote for a generation if they decided to work with the PA of all parties.