Presidential election - grades on at least 51 races (50 states + DC) and up to 56 (50 states + DC + congressional districts in Maine and Nebraska)
Many new prediction sources were added this year for a grand total of 32. My past superstars Larry Sabato, Scott Elliott, and PredictWise were all at or near the top but Real Clear Politics and Electoral Map were also impressive.
92.9% - Election Projection (Scott Elliott) - 52/56 correct (2012: 50/51)
92.9% - Real Clear Politics - 52/56 correct (2012: 42/53)
92.2% - Electoral Map (Pivit) - 47/51 correct (2012: 50/51 using Intrade)
91.1% - Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball - 51/56 correct (2012: 52/54)
91.1% - New York Times - 51/56 correct (2012: 46/53)
91.1% - PredictWise - 51/56 correct
91.1% - Princess Nyan Cat =^..^= - 51/56 correct (2012: 55/56)
90.2% - CrossTab (G. Elliott Morris) - 46/51 correct
90.2% - Daily Kos - 46/51 correct
90.2% - DeSart & Holbrook Forecasting - 46/51 correct
90.2% - PolyVote (Andreas Graefe) - 46/51 correct
89.3% - 538 (Nate Silver) - 50/56 correct (2012: 55/56)
89.3% - Dave Leip's Atlas aggregate - 50/56 correct (2012: 55/56)
89.3% - PredictIt prediction market - 50/56 correct
89.3% - Princeton Election Consortium (Sam Wang) - 50/56 correct
88.2% - Electoral Vote (Andrew Tanenbaum) - 45/51 correct (2012: 49/51)
88.2% - People's Pundit Daily - 45/51 correct
88.2% - Rothenberg & Gonzalez Political Report - 45/51 correct (2012: 43/51)
88.2% - Washington Post - 45/51 correct (2012: 44/51)
87.5% - Cook Political Report - 49/56 correct (2012: 49/56)
87.5% - Huffington Post - 49/56 correct (2012: 47/51)
87.5% - National Public Radio - 49/56 correct
86.3% - Los Angeles Times - 44/51 correct
86.3% - Talking Points Memo - 44/51 correct (2012: 48/51)
83.9% - ABC News - 47/56 correct (2012: 43/51)
83.9% - CNN - 47/56 correct (2012: 43/51)
83.9% - Governing - 47/56 correct
83.9% - Race-4 - 47/56 correct (2012: 51/53)
82.4% - YouGov - 42/51 correct
82.1% - Associated Press - 46/56 correct
80.4% - NBC News - 45/56 correct
74.5% - Fox News - 38/51 correct (2012: 45/51)
70.6% - USA Today - 36/51 correct
Showing how poorly the experts did overall, every prediction was wrong in 3 states -- Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
Only 4 were right in Florida -- Real Clear Politics, EVP-Scott Elliott, People's Pundit Daily, and Electoral Map.
Only 5 were right in North Carolina -- Real Clear Politics, EVP-Scott Elliott, DeSart & Holbrook, People's Pundit Daily, and Electoral Map.
http://politicalref.com/2016_politicalref_performance_analysis_electoral.php
His vote totals are well off for a lot of states however.
